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Very Hot Topic (More than 25 Replies) PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!! (Read 20659 times)
Paste Member Name in Quick Reply Box mustbaliar
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #15 - Jun 21st, 2005 at 6:44am
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darkcobra2005 wrote on Jun 21st, 2005 at 3:32am:
 Yes I do believe the polygraph has an accuracy rate of 90 to 95% when conducted properly, so we do have an error rate of 10 to 15% including inconclusives.   


Where do these numbers come from??  It never ceases to amaze me that all these percentages are flying around about the accuracy (or inaccuracy) of the polygraph.  Who here pretends to know the truth?  The polygrapher or the subject?  Yes, I've read about all the studies, Lykken's book, TLBTLD, etc, etc, but it all comes down to the TRUTH!!  And nobody really knows IT except the person strapped to the machine.  There might be rare occasions when the truth might be known through some other means or those ridiculous "controlled" experiments, but no one ever really knows.  Polygraphers can talk all they want about how "sure" they are when they think someone is lying (oh, sorry, Deceptive), but that doesn't count, because that just isn't science.  I've "failed" two polygraphs, so I guess a polygrapher would consider that 100% accuracy.  I call it BS.
  
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Paste Member Name in Quick Reply Box Drew Richardson
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #16 - Jun 21st, 2005 at 1:39pm
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Dark Cobra,

You write in part:
Quote:

Yes I do believe the polygraph has an accuracy rate of 90 to 95% when conducted properly, so we do have an error rate of 10 to 15% including inconclusives.  


The simulated-crime(s) research related to specific incident testing is poor at best--biased (largely done by the polygraph industry and/or those who benefit from polygraph testing) and is largely lacking in external validity (no meaningful relevant issues and no fear of consequences for any of the examinees being tested).  That's the good news--there is almost no research dealing with the fishing expedition you have come to know and enjoy as polygraph screening.  What little exists would indicate that this application is an abysmal mess.  I hope you are not suggesting the accuracy rates you mention apply to polygraph screening.  If so, you are no less than completely delusional.  Sorry to be so painfully blunt, but the consequences for examinees are too great not to be.  Regards...
  
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Paste Member Name in Quick Reply Box Bill Crider
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #17 - Jun 21st, 2005 at 3:02pm
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not to mention that so many of the studies that do exist are guilty of massive sampling bias. How can the polygraph community continue to tout 90%+ accuracy studies when the sampling criterion for so many of these studies to establish "Ground truth" was the admission of guilt! I've made this point before on polygraphplace.org and apparently the polygraph community in general has never done even the elementary level of social science research that I did as a Criminal justice undergrad if they cant understand the issue of sampling bias.

Dewey defeats Truman!
  
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Paste Member Name in Quick Reply Box Drew Richardson
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #18 - Jun 21st, 2005 at 3:39pm
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Bill,

Actually, sampling bias is not the real weakness of polygraph research.  Although it is true that some fairly early and naive researchers have simply used college students or military recruits (such has been used for polygraph examiner trainee exams at DoDPI) as an examinee population, many more serious studies have been done using more meaningful sampling techniques.  Again the real problem with simulated studies is that they have little to no external validity and furthermore the studies done have absolutely nothing to do with polygraph screening.  This latter application has no validity whatsoever.  With regard to real field studies, there generally is a necessary sampling bias (you deal with what you have) and as you allude to there are serious problems with studies that are based on confession criteria.  As Bill Iacono and others have pointed out, all innocent subjects deemed to be deceptive and who do not confess are by definition excluded from said study results and thereby underestimate problems with false positive results.  Obviously such a study would be almost meaningless.  But back again to polygraph screening, the main interest of most who frequent this site--there is not one shred of research data to support most of what goes on with this application.
  
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Paste Member Name in Quick Reply Box Marty
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #19 - Jun 21st, 2005 at 7:03pm
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Dark Cobra,

....I hope you are not suggesting the accuracy rates you mention apply to polygraph screening.  If so, you are no less than completely delusional.  Sorry to be so painfully blunt, but the consequences for examinees are too great not to be.  Regards...


Drew,

Darkcobra was rather specific in excluding screening from his numbers. He stated earlier in the thread:

Quote:
There are no conclusive studies with error rates on screening examinations because we don't know what ground truth is in screening examinations.


One of the other problems with screening tests is the near impossibility of verification. Unlike specific incident tests where false positives will sometimes be later identified, this doesn't happen with screening. Human nature, being what it is, likely results in screening examiners increasingly believing their own declarations since evidence to the contrary will be rare.

marty
  

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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #20 - Jun 22nd, 2005 at 3:20am
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Marty wrote on Jun 20th, 2005 at 8:16am:


polyfool,

Just as I was reading this thread and thinking back about Mr. "Long and Strong's" advice and you went and beat me (and probably George) to it.

Anyway, as regards the "too honest," there is a brief paragraph in Matte's book (yes, the guy with the home study PhD) about this. He says that on occasion, but infrequently, an examinee can not be persuaded to lie on the control and persists in answering yes. Matte states, without rationale, that he simply scores the exam as if the examinee lied. It seems to me this probably often works because the examinee is highly sensitized to the question by this point.

Marty

Marty:

But what if the examiner doesn't know the examinee is answering the control questions truthfully? For example, they are able to answer no because they have confessed enough to be able to do so, yet the examiner would not know this and would still expect them to be lying. 

Also, the examinee may not be sensitized to the control because he/she may feel at ease when answering because they've confessed their sins and cleared their conscience.
  
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #21 - Jun 22nd, 2005 at 9:48am
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polyfool wrote on Jun 22nd, 2005 at 3:20am:

Marty:

But what if the examiner doesn't know the examinee is answering the control questions truthfully? For example, they are able to answer no because they have confessed enough to be able to do so, yet the examiner would not know this and would still expect them to be lying. 

Also, the examinee may not be sensitized to the control because he/she may feel at ease when answering because they've confessed their sins and cleared their conscience.  


Examiners generally assume that the controls represent something that everyone will, at a minimum, be uncertain about. The "excessively" honest will be unwilling to lie and thus answer yes or probably. The "excessively" good will not have done what the control Q states. Both are problematic, but the latter is more problematic as the examiner won't know. By utilizing differing controls, the examiner can minimize the risk the person has done none. Perhaps Darkcobra can disclose how he/she tells if a person answering no on a control is not deceptive. Other than watching for psychological clues in the prelim (which is a subjective call) I don't know what could be done. After all, if an examiner can tell, rather than presume, whether someone is lying on a control they could skip the poly and just make an assessment on the relevant.

marty
  

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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #22 - Jun 22nd, 2005 at 3:10pm
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Marty,

You write:

Quote:

Examiners generally assume that the controls represent something that everyone will, at a minimum, be uncertain about. The "excessively" honest will be unwilling to lie and thus answer yes or probably. The "excessively" good will not have done what the control Q states. Both are problematic, but the latter is more problematic as the examiner won't know. By utilizing differing controls, the examiner can minimize the risk the person has done none. Perhaps Darkcobra can disclose how he/she tells if a person answering no on a control is not deceptive. Other than watching for psychological clues in the prelim (which is a subjective call) I don't know what could be done. After all, if an examiner can tell, rather than presume, whether someone is lying on a control they could skip the poly and just make an assessment on the relevant.


This is a very well articulated description of why there is not even any general (qualitative) control associated with the probable-lie control question test.  Beyond this (but almost irrelevant due to the lack of general control and basic theoretical support) is the lack of finer quantitative control, i.e., what is the relative affect caused by the relevant and the paired control questions and how does this relationship change with the various alternative control questions which might be so paired with a given relevant question.  All of this largely becomes mere speculation and has absolutely nothing to do with scientific control.  Because of a complete lack of understanding, insight, and control regarding both the qualitative and quantitative aspects of this, this whole notion of a control question test would be comical if did not involve tragic consequences for the many involved.
« Last Edit: Jun 22nd, 2005 at 4:03pm by Drew Richardson »  
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Paste Member Name in Quick Reply Box Bill Crider
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #23 - Jun 22nd, 2005 at 6:34pm
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my experiences with 4 FBI polygraphers is that they suck at making control questions that may give one uncertainty.

If you admit to social drinking, they will ask you if you have ever abused alcohol as a control. One need not be "excessively good" to be a social drinker and never have abused alcohol, which I assume to mean either DWIs or perhaps a degree of alcoholism. 

others were even more laughable. I was once asked if anyone knew I had failed an FBI poly as a control. beyond the other problems listed, one has to assume the examiner can develop controls that are impactful.
  
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #24 - Jun 22nd, 2005 at 7:45pm
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I knew nothing about this site or the material on it before I was strapped into the chair.  But in hindsight, my controls were so bad, even thinking back now I couldn't identify them.

They didn't ask anything that made me uncomfortable.  Being strapped into the chair and confronted by an overbearing (and overweight) polygraph examiner over things I'd never even contemplated doing was uncomfortable -- and shocking.  But the questions themselves weren't bad at all. I guess I failed the "control" questions...
  
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #25 - Jun 24th, 2005 at 6:14am
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In screening examinations it is important to note that "IF" and individual shows what is considered to be reactions associated with deception, a second test should be constructed based on the one question showing responses and another examination conducted.


i was only interrogated, neve afforded more specific testing. this is NOT how the FBI does it I can assure you.

darkcobra, you seem very reasonable about this whole sbuject. Thank you. 

I think I reacted to the relevants simply because I knew they were the money questions and represented failure, while I knew the controls didnt. Other polygraph people say this doesnt happen. WHat is your view on the idea of reacting to relevants for this reason? Of course, i cannot prove it, but for the sake of argument take it on faith that I have never sold any drugs.
  
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #26 - Jun 24th, 2005 at 6:16am
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darkcobra2005 wrote on Jun 24th, 2005 at 4:32am:
Regarding the issue of countermeasures, you can in fact put reactions on a chart by using countermeasures, however you cannot remove reactions with countermeasures.  If you are showing reactions to both the controls and the relevant questions, there is a problem that needs to be addressed before proceding with an examination.  


So if a person is reacting to both questions, does that automatically set off the "countermeasure" alarm, or what problems are there and how would you address them before proceeding?

Quote:
There are some problems with screening examinations, I do hope we can find a manner in which to overcome the problems.  I don't believe countermeasures are the answer.  Again, this comes from a polygraph examiner, not a person supporting countermeasures. 


Ok, so let's have your honest answer here: if you had a big mortgage, a family to support and were years aaway from retirement; you worked in a job you like and, knowing what you know now about polygraphy, were told you had to sit and pass a screening exam, would you or would you not use countermeasures?  (since I'm asking this to a polygrapher, one would think this was a control question Cheesy but in this case, assume it is relevant)
  
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #27 - Jun 24th, 2005 at 6:37pm
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DarkCobra2005:

Your polygraph screening technique is definitely not in play within the FBI. After my first test, the examiner intensely interrogated me at length and flat out called me a "liar." Looking back and nowing what I know now, he did try to sensitize me to the contols and initially I was very concerned with them thinking that I was not going to get the job because of the things I had done in my distant past. However, after confessing to the worst things I've ever done (a joke to him, but a big deal to me) I no longer felt any more guilt about them. I truly believed that the only way to pass the test was to answer all questions with complete honesty, so I was very concerned about trying to remember everything and not leave anything out. However, as the test went on, I felt more comfortable and confident in answering the controls honestly.  

It's also important to note how influential the mind games that some polygraphers play can have on examinees. For example, my polygrapher's honesty sermon forced me to confess everything, but it also kept me from giving into the coercion tactics he used to try and get me to give a false confession. In addition, I think being confident in knowing who you are and what you stand for also works against you in screening situations because the examiner will be unsuccessful in making you question yourself and exhibit concern pertaining to the controls. 

In my second test, I have no doubt I probably reacted to the relevant drug question after what I'd been put through during my first exam. However, my supposed reactions would not have been caused by lying. Wouldn't a polygraph examiner expect an examinee to react to the questions they'd been grilled about in a previous interrogation and what would be the point of a second exam? It seems like one would always react to the relevant because of the memory with which it is associated. Since there are emotions that would cause reactions shown as deception on a test how would you ever know for sure whether they were lying or being truthful or would you just make your best guess? 

It seems there are so many factors that may come into play during polygraph screening. Given the simple fact that people are so complex and diverse and the test assumes everyone thinks and acts the same, it's no wonder there are problems associated with its use. For the life of me, I still can't comprehend why it's used to hire in the government. With the apparent dysfunction, it doesn't appear that its use is resulting in choosing the best workers. The agent who conducted my personnel interview did a much better job of figuring me out by not playing games and spending a fair amount of time just getting to know me by talking at length. She didn't need a polygraph, but the agent who used one got me all wrong. Instead of using investigative skill and sound judgement, he chose to rely on a faulty testing procedure on which to base his opinion.    

What do you do when you suspect countermeasure use? Do you change the format or the test? If my memory serves me correctly, I think you said you don't confront examinees about cm use. Why is this and how often would you say you believe you see cm use?  

I do appreciate your candidness and hope that you will keep in mind the things that you learn from this board as you hold the futures of job applicants in your hands.    
  
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #28 - Jun 25th, 2005 at 6:25am
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darkcobra2005 wrote on Jun 25th, 2005 at 3:28am:
The other question, would I take a polygraph to continue in my job, a screening examination.  Well, I did take one for the job I currently have.  I did not use countermeasures, just cooperated with the examiner.  (I do have mortgage, family, and bills) and I was concerned about passing the examination during the process.  


Were you a polygrapher before you took the polygraph to qualify for your current job?  Or did you get trined on the polygraph after taking your one and only screening exam?  If you had to take a polygraph now to keep your job what would you do?
  
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Re: PASSED MY POLYGRAPH!!!
Reply #29 - Jun 26th, 2005 at 7:52pm
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darkcobra2005 wrote on Jun 26th, 2005 at 5:11pm:
I was a polygraph examiner when I took my last polygraph and I did not use countermeasures.  I did not tell the truth to the control questions purposly.  I do understand polygraph and was truthful to the relevant questions 

Thanks for your honesty here.

So what you are saying is, as a polygraph examiner, you did not use countermeasures, but were intentionally dishonest (on controls) and still passed?

So you lied on a polygraph but still passed?

As someome like myself (who, believe it if you will, is TOTALLY honest) can you now see our disgust with the overall polygraph process?

Isn't your being intentionally dishonest (on controls) in itself a form of countermeasure?

Those of us whose examiners sucked at leading them to lieing on controls in my opinion have a right to be a bit pissed off.  But we're just additional numbers in the system.
  
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