First of all the nom de plume is Sancho NOT "Snacho" or are you name calling trying to earn yourself a nastygram from the administrator.
WJ wrote on Jan 8
th, 2008 at 2:31pm:
Snacho wrote, "Every test has an error rate and I am not talking just about polygraph. Every test has an error rate."
If that is true then what is the error rate of written tests for say the FBI? Name another type of test that is used by LE that has error rates. You made the statement lets here it. I will admit that certain written tests might have an error rate but they, just like your polygraph, are subjective. I promise you though that when the FBI asks what 2+2 is and you say 4 that there is no error rate in those tests. I do agree though that there is an error rate for those who read the bumps on skulls in order to predict the future. Obviously I've over simplified things but I'm just curious what other tests have an error rate... ...lets hear it.
Before I respond, to what I see as your silly question "what other tests have an error rate?, let me attempt to explain to you that the error rate in pre employment written tests does not lie in whether or not 2+2 =4.
The error/accuracy rate lies in the ability of a question or question set to determine what the test is designed to resolve. Or in other words, How well ones ability to accurately answer the question,( "what is 2+2?) determines their ability to be an FBI agent. I guess one could conceivably argue that knowing the answer to "What are 2+2" doesn't have, by itself any arguable ability to determine someone’s overall qualifications as an agent. Although, if you failed that question, the FBI might justifiably determine that you lacked the necessary math skills to perform the parts of the job that required math skills.
That is why they put all those different questions on the test. It s not really to see whether or not you get the correct answer to any particular question, but whether or not you have answered a sufficient number of questions correctly to convince them that you have the ability to learn to perform the tasks required of an agent. If this test was absolutely accurate in its ability to weed those people out then no one would ever fail the academy for academic reasons.
Those academic washouts help establish that their written test does in fact have an error rate. Unless you scored 100% on your written test you encountered another error rate, your own. Perhaps the FBI will accept a 30% applicant error rate on its written test, I don’t know I’m just guessing, but for the sake of our discussion that would mean if your accuracy was 70% YOU PASSED.Does that mean that someone who scored a 60% would not make a good agent? No it just means they failed the standard and got eliminated. Somewhere during the application process you may encounter the Minnesota Multi-phasic Personality Inventory or MMPI. I really don’t have a citation but I recall reading somewhere that this test may have an error rate as high as 40% in detecting clinical depression, but it is still used by many Law Enforcement Agencies and I presume that includes Federal Agencies in determining psychological fitness for service. No one is in a better position to be aware of whatever failure rate exists in polygraph and how that rate may be quantified. Error rates are made of false positives (honest people called deceptive) and false negatives (dishonest people called truthful) The Federal government has made a conscious informed decision that at the risk of letting a few honorable people fail the process they will continue to use the process to weed out all of the dishonorable people they can. That is their right. Your right is not to apply if you don’t like the way they exercise their rights. You do not have any right to act in a dishonorable fashion or cheat or lie during any part of the process in which they evaluate your suitability, your honesty, or your integrity, by whatever method they choose to employ that are within the law.
Response to “Name another type of test that is used by LE that has error rates.”
Polygraph
DNA
Hair Analysis
Latent Fingerprint comparison
Blood Alcohol Analysis (Breath)
Blood Alcohol Analysis (Blood)
Handwriting Comparison
Statement Analysis
Determination of speed from skid marks
Determination of speed from yaw marks
Determination of speed from deformation of metal
Presence of blood
Presence of human blood
Marijuana field test
Marijuana Lab test
Heroin Field test
Heroin Lab Test
as a matter of fact to save time all presumptive tests for drugs whether in the field or lab
Urinalysis
Ink analysis
Identification of trace evidence
Foot Print Comparison
Puzzle fit analysis
Ballistics
NEED I GO ON??? Didn’t you talk about error rates in college? Chemistry?, Physics?, Biology? Any science at all?
BTW You said that you used to be a military officer. What is the error rate of the impact location of a 105mm howitzer? If there were not error rate, all of the shells would hit the exact same spot unless the settings were changed.
I realize this answer is probably too long because I don’t think you are looking for answers. I think you are looking for argument
Sancho Panza