AntiPolygraph.org Message Board

Polygraph and CVSA Forums => Polygraph Procedure => Topic started by: nopolycop on Oct 24, 2007, 10:53 AM

Title: Understanding polygraphy
Post by: nopolycop on Oct 24, 2007, 10:53 AM
Is it my understanding that the polygraph examiner himself determines how much variance in the chart readings in order to determine deception or no deception?  I ask this based on the following lineini Mr. Hont's study regarding countermeasures:

"Followng the data collection, the examiner ran the CPS discriminant analysis classification software . . . . Participants who produced probabilities of trthfulness of .7 or greater were told they passed and were given the movie pass bonus."

So, what does this mean in layman's terms?
Title: Re: Understanding polygraphy
Post by: raymond.nelson on Oct 24, 2007, 11:58 AM
You cannot reasonably expect, in this forum, a primer on discriminate analysis, likelihood ratios or bayesian probabilities.

More succinct questions would be in order.

For basic information, of which there is sometimes a lot, you can refer to any advanced statistics texts or treatises. However, many find it easier to learn about statistics in a classroom with other students vs. self study.

r
Title: Re: Understanding polygraphy
Post by: nopolycop on Oct 24, 2007, 02:22 PM
Quote from: raymond.nelson on Oct 24, 2007, 11:58 AMYou cannot reasonably expect, in this forum, a primer on discriminate analysis, likelihood ratios or bayesian probabilities.

More succinct questions would be in order.

For basic information, of which there is sometimes a lot, you can refer to any advanced statistics texts or treatises. However, many find it easier to learn about statistics in a classroom with other students vs. self study.

r

Thank-you Mr. Nelson for your comments.  Based on your response,  I guess there is no way to discuss this in laymans terms.
Title: Re: Understanding polygraphy
Post by: raymond.nelson on Oct 24, 2007, 03:08 PM
(http://img90.imageshack.us/img90/1851/beanievg8.png)

No.