QuoteI would suspect (assuming the facts have you have presented are correct) that the odds on most probable explanation is
that the investigating officer(s) had correctly identified (had strong suspicions relative to other suspects) Westerfield as
the guilty subject before the administration of the various exams. The influence of investigative bias is very strong and
can lead to either a large number of correct results or a large number of wrong results depending on the nature of that
bias.
Quote from: Ray on Feb 07, 2003, 08:30 PM
George or any anti-polygraph individual,
I'm still waiting on your response to the above quote. The polygraph goes seven for seven in a child murder case. Maybe the polygraph has some validity. This is a real world example of the polygraph at work. How do you dispute this?
QuoteActually, the SDPD administered a total of seven polygraphs in the course of this
investigation. Both parents and four family friends passed exams. Only Westerfield failed. I
think that gives it a bit more "statistical meaning."
Quote from: Ray on Jan 15, 2003, 10:52 PM
You scream that all polygraphs should be taped because examiners are often times "cruel" to examinees. Then, when an exam is taped and the examiner is found to have acted in a professional manner you attribute his or her behavior to the presence of a recording device in the room. Are you basing your opinion that most examiners act unprofessionally when conducting an exam on statements provided by individuals who have FAILED a polygraph?
QuoteAudiotape has a funny way of making a professional out of anyone (obviouslyYou scream that all polygraphs should be taped because examiners are often times "cruel" to examinees. Then, when an exam is taped and the examiner is found to have acted in a professional manner you attribute his or her behavior to the presence of a recording device in the room. Are you basing your opinion that most examiners act unprofessionally when conducting an exam on statements provided by individuals who have FAILED a polygraph? What evidence of examiner misconduct do you have other than what bitter examinees have told you? I think the polygraph community has offered proof in the form of these tapes that even when faced with a child murderer, professional conduct is the norm.
excluding applicant situations where the examiner knows that there will be no
chance of the tape ever getting into the hands of the person being "tested").
QuoteThat Westerfield failed the "test" is not indicative of any validity for polygraphy --Actually, the SDPD administered a total of seven polygraphs in the course of this investigation. Both parents and four family friends passed exams. Only Westerfield failed. I think that gives it a bit more "statistical meaning."
a sample size of one is statistically meaningless. In addition, while polygrapher
Paul Redden told Westerfield that all others polygraphed about the disappearance
of Danielle Van Dam "passed," it is not clear that such is actually the case.
Quote from: Ray on Jan 15, 2003, 12:00 AM
I'm surprised at the lack of discussion regarding the Westerfield polygraph. That may be due to the fact that the case bodes well for polygraph. According to what I've read, several "suspects" in the case were polygraphed. Westerfield failed, everyone else passed. This sounds like more than chance to me. You can quote lab studies all that you want, but these seem like compelling real world results. Also, in reviewing the tapes of the polygraph, I found the examiner to be very professional. He didn't seem anything like the monsters you make examiners out to be. George I'm curious to hear what you have to say about this.
Quote from: Gino J. Scalabrini on Jan 15, 2003, 12:27 AMIt is generally agreed that the polygraph's greatest reliability is in specific incident testing with a naive suspect. We have that in spades here. Even more to the point, we have a control question from interviewing others that is very specific to Westerfield. That reduces the false positive likelihood from exceptionally honest individuals. Still, it's too bad that CQT testing is so ingrained that SDPD missed a great opportunity to do a GKT on Westerfield. (specifics of the home interior, girl's bedroom, etc). Perhaps he would have totally caved and spared the county a ton of money.
Even a broken clock is right twice each day. A single anecdote provides hardly a large enough sample size to declare polygraphy reliable.
Quote
Audiotape has a funny way of making a professional out of anyone (obviously excluding applicant situations where the examiner knows that there will be no chance of the tape ever getting into the hands of the person being "tested").
QuoteYou can quote lab studies all that you want, but these seem like compelling real world results.Even a broken clock is right twice each day. A single anecdote provides hardly a large enough sample size to declare polygraphy reliable.
QuoteAlso, in reviewing the tapes of the polygraph, I found the examiner to be very professional. He didn't seem anything like the monsters you make examiners out to be.Audiotape has a funny way of making a professional out of anyone (obviously excluding applicant situations where the examiner knows that there will be no chance of the tape ever getting into the hands of the person being "tested").