Quote:Wow .. Mr. Cullen is upset that the polygraph functions "well above chance" but is not perfect... what involving human beings is perfect
Who is upset? And polygraphers routinely DO claim to be nearly perfect, with bogus claims of 98% accuracy.
GM said the polygraph is "not accurate", Pailryder claimed "very accurate" (with caveats and specified "single issue" polygraphs). I provided a quote from the NAS report which concludes "Well above chance, far from perfection". The person asking the original question (whether somebody suspected of child abuse should be believed simply because they passed a polygraph) deserves to know what one of the nation's top scientific body's conclusion on polygraph accuracy.
Like I said above, the standard claim from polygraphers is 98% accuracy, which certainly exceeds the NAS report's conclusion. So which is it? Are polygraphers lying or is the NAS wrong? Is polygraph accuracy near perfect (98%), or "significantly above chance"? Say 65% maybe. Big difference, especially when accusing somebody of something as serious as child molestation.
And there is still the matter of "single issue" versus "SPECIFIC incident". Is there a difference? Specific incident would seem to imply a crime has definitely been committed. Single issue, would seem to imply something a bit less (eg. funds MAY be missing, a child has claims to have been molested...etc.). The NAS report used the phrase "specific incident" when making the "significantly above chance" estimate of accuracy.
TC
P.S. As for employment polygraphs, well, the NAS report's estimate of accuracy was even lower:
"almost a century of research in scientific psychology and physiology provides little basis for the expectation that a polygraph test could have extremely high accuracy" (p. 212).
"[the polygraph's] accuracy in distinguishing actual or potential security violators from innocent test takers is insufficient to justify reliance on its use in employee security screening in federal agencies." This despite years of lying and outright fabrication by agencies using the polygraph to screen employees.