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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #30 - Mar 1st, 2009 at 9:55am
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What do you mean by burned? If you think that by rejecting someone for a job they were not entitled to in the first place is getting burned, could you explain why? 

The testing process should be fair, and it is not.  That is how people are "getting burned."

It has nothing to do with feeling entitled to the job.  It has everything to do with telling the truth on a test that supposedly detects lies and being told you lied and therefore won't get the job.

If a police agency lined up all their applicants, had them count off, and then summarily removed all the even numbers from the hiring process, would you think it reasonable to argue that none of those applicants were entitled to a job in the first place, so they have no reason to complain?
  

Lorsque vous utilisez un argumentum ad hominem, tout le monde sait que vous êtes intellectuellement faillite.
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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #31 - Mar 1st, 2009 at 1:34pm
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Mr Cullen
 
Do you find it strange that considering polygraph has been around for almost one hundred years and has allegedly ruined thousands of lives, that the antipolygraph side has produced so few studies to back up their opinions?  Even your beloved NAS study only looked at existing research, they did not contribute anything new.  After all, there are so many of you to help with funding and if you don't do it, who will?
  

No good social purpose can be served by inventing ways of beating the lie detector or deceiving polygraphers.   David Thoreson Lykken
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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #32 - Mar 1st, 2009 at 1:56pm
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Cullen, I'll take that as an admission that you couldn't name any peer reviewed studies about anything conducted  and funded by anyone who doesn't have some stake in the outcome. 
You also don't appear to have any basis, general or specific, that applicants are currently being rejected solely on the bass of polygraph.

Why didn't you just say so?

My illustrated point, which you mislabel a diatribe was merely given to emphasize your ridiculous position that in order for research to be valid it must be conducted by disinterested parties. That never happens. Everbody involved in any study has a stake in the outcome. Otherwise they have no incentive to do the study in the first place. I'm sorry the simple logic of that statement seems to escape you. The Crewes Study is the only part of my post that makes a direct comparison to polygraph screening and medical screening and as I posted previously, to date no-one has successfully refuted the findings of his study.


"If a police agency lined up all their applicants, had them count off, and then summarily removed all the even numbers from the hiring process, would you think it reasonable to argue that none of those applicants were entitled to a job in the first place, so they have no reason to complain? "

They might have a reason to gripe but they would be laughed  out of court or arbitration because whether you like it or not the procedure you described is a perfectly LEGAL way to eliminate applicants because it does not discriminate against the applicant on the basis of race, gender, religon or political beliefs.  Polygraph is a perfectly legal way to eliminate applicants and it that context (and only in that context) it really doesn't matter whether it works or not.  

According to the American Medical Association Polygraph performs significantly better than chance.  "It is established that classification of guilty can be made with 75% to 97% accuracy, but the rate of false-positives is often sufficiently high to preclude use of this test as the sole arbiter of guilt or innocence."
http://jama.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/abstract/256/9/1172

Ask any statistician if you want to know whether or not 75% to 97% can be properly characterized as "significantly better than chance."


But once again The American Polygraph Association Policy for pre-employment testing clearly says: 
"Polygraph test results should never be used as the sole basis for the selection or rejection of a law-enforcement or public-service applicant"
http://www.polygraph.org/files/delPolicyLE-PublicServicePre-employmenttestingJan...

It appears that the American Polygraph Association and The American Medical Association are in full agreement that polygraph results should not be used as the sole basis for a hiring decision.

It isn't very likely that polygraph will ever be eliminated from law enforcement hiring procedures. Not likely at all. 

If you want to have a significant positive effect on leveling the playing field in the hiring process where polygraph is concerned, why don't you try to identify those agencies that are still using polygraph as the sole arbitor in hiring, failing to use the successive hurdles approach, or violating the American Polygraph Association Policy in any manner and encourage rejected applicants to base their appeals on APA policy violations?  The APA may never publicly censure those agencies who violate their policies but neither will they voice support for anyone who fails to follow them. 

The questions I would ask a rejected applicant would be along the lines of.

How many tests were you given? 
A failure on a single test question series of 3 or 4 charts without a follow-up test is a strong indcation that the successive hurdles approach was not followed. 


Who told you that you were rejected? 
How did they tell you? 
Did you get anything in writing? 
This information might provide evidence of an APA policy violation. 

Did you lie or omit any information before or during the test that pertained to a past criminal act or falsifying of application documents?
If they did, they were rejected because they lied and got caught. You can't help them. 

Did you attempt or were you accused of countermeasures?
If someone was caught using countermeasures there isn't much you'll be able to do to help them because they got caught cheating. 

If any of these questions lead you to believe that APA policy was violated refer them to the APA policy and suggest that they read it thoroughly and point out any potential policy violations in their appeal letter. You should also suggest that they sit down immediately and commit to paper every thing they can remember about the test and what was said by whom and when it was said. This will enable them to better respond to any questions raised in the appeals process.

You'll never beat them by griping about it or by using George's book. 
If you want to whip them, whip them with their own switch, in this case the APA preemployment testing policy.
  
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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #33 - Mar 1st, 2009 at 8:16pm
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Do you find it strange that considering polygraph has been around for almost one hundred years and has allegedly ruined thousands of lives, that the antipolygraph side has produced so few studies to back up their opinions?
 

Is that how the "scienfic method" is suppose to work?  One group claims they have a magic box that can distinguish lies from truth.  Is the onus on THEM to prove that theory, or on some "anti" group to prove them wrong?

People assumed the world was flat for centuries.  It wasn't a theory, like polygraphy, it was an unproven and largely unquestioned claim.  Along came Columbus.  The "anti" of his day who dared to question that dogma.  And of course, no one likes to have their dogma questioned, whether it be the 15th century "flat earth" crowd, or the modern practitioners of polygraphy.

Quote:
Even your beloved NAS study only looked at exsting research, they did not contribute anything new.  After all, there are so many of you to help with funding and if you don't do it, who will?


It wasn't a "study".  Congress tasked the NAS to REVIEW the research out there on the polygraph and assess it's scientific validity, probably reliability...etc. in light of the DOE security debacle.  Remember WEN HO LEE?

They found only 56 of 1000 so called studies worth reviewing.  Most lacked scienfitic rigor.  They found that in many ways polygraphy doesn't even lend itself to scientific scrutiny due to it's subjectivity (even chart analysis is subjective), lack of standarization...etc.  

Don't YOU find it strange that such esteemed body found so much wrong with the polygraph?  For example, they concluded that employment screening polygraphs did more HARM THAN GOOD, and should be stopped.

Maybe you should point out what part of the NAS report findings you disagree with, and why.  Polygrapers don't like the report findings would be more credible, and frankly appear less arrogant, if they did that.  Though I understand that people who make a living off the test would not like the report, and criticize it.   That is just human nature.

TC

« Last Edit: Mar 1st, 2009 at 9:48pm by T.M. Cullen »  

"There is no direct and unequivocal connection between lying and these physiological states of arousal...(referring to polygraph)."

Dr. Phil Zimbardo, Phd, Standford University
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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #34 - Mar 1st, 2009 at 10:44pm
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But Mr Cullen, it should be so easy to debunk a false science.  One good antipolygraph scientific study in 100 years is not asking too much, is it?

Even if NAS only found 56 valid polygraph studies, that is still 56 to 0 our way.
  

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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #35 - Mar 1st, 2009 at 11:36pm
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Wen Ho Lee?  Oh yeah that was the DOE Scientist that was CLEARED BY POLYGRAPH. 

Christopher Columbus. Famous for getting lost, right? Never did find what he was looking for.  The "Wrongway Feldman" of his era. He first claimed that Cuba was Japan and stummbled onto San Salvador. Then in a feeble attempt to wrench success from the jaws of ineptitude he renamed the natives "Indians". He then went back to Spain and lied about his findings and was well rewarded. He then made three more tries to find India.  All of them failed. Yes I guess you could say he was the "Anti" of his time.  I see the similarities. 

Optional history lesson ...But you're also wrong about something else. Aristotle first postulated the shape of the earth in the 3rd century BC after viewing a lunar eclipse and determining it was caused by the shadow of the earth and that if the earth was flat the shape of the shadow would change depending on the location of the sun. . By the time that Columbus made his voyage 1600 years later, only uneducated peasants believed the earth was flat and the members of the Spanish Court most certainly knew the earth was round because it had been taught in their schools for hundreds of years. Most educated and civilized people believed the earth to be round for hundreds of years  before Christ even though the flat earth idea did briefly resurge during the height of the Roman Empire. The maps and charts Columbus carried with him on his first voyage while containing significant errors clearly showed that the world was round/spherical. End of History lesson.

See what happens when you get your polygraph information from George and your history from School House Rock? Errors caused by false information or unjustified beliefs may arise.  Columbus was really little more than a courageous buffoon. I believe that George is sincere and courageous, but he's not a buffoon.  It's just too bad he's wrong. You should really try for a more flattering comparison.

NAS Study or Review or what ever you want to call it funded by donations by the scientists  scientists at DOE who formed the opinion that because of their lofty "qualifications", THEY shouldn't have to submit to the indignity of security screening while they were working on weapons of mass destruction. The fact that they bought and paid for the this NAS "Study/Review" ALSO provides a significant potential for bias and conflict of interest on THEIR findings as well.

But even then acfter their review they did state that the polygraph was the best tool currently available  "ALTERNATIVES AND ENHANCEMENTS TO THE POLYGRAPH
CONCLUSION: Some potential alternatives to the polygraph show promise, but none has yet been shown to outperform the polygraph. None shows any promise of supplanting the polygraph for screening purposes in the near term."

Chart analysis may have been largely subjective in the 70's, but now evaluation is by and large objective. (meaning that most modern examiners use objective scoring criteria) Many of the scoring criteria mentioned in George's book are no longer considered as valid by modern polygraph examiners. 

The NAS Study/Review also stated that Computerized analysis of polygraph records has the potential to improve the accuracy of test results by using more information from polygraph records than is used in traditional scoring methods. Polygraph now uses several tools for computerized analysis that are readily available for scrutiny if you care to look for them. 

You err when you presume that the NAS Study/Review was the end of polygraph progress. Many studies have been produced since their report which address the kinds of research improvements recomended by the NAS.  

  
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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #36 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 5:23am
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Wen Ho Lee?  Oh yeah that was the DOE Scientist that was CLEARED BY POLYGRAPH.


Dr. Lee wasn't cleared by the polygraph. Although he initially passed his DOE polygraph screening examination, the FBI claims to have interpreted his charts as "inconclusive, if not deceptive," although this is contradicted by Dave Renzelman, then chief of the DOE polygraph program, who reached the conclusion that Lee's polygraph examination was "not finished" (whatever that's supposed to mean). In this regard see my 26 July 2001 "OPR Referral Regarding FBI Testimony on Wen Ho Lee."

Note that Lee later "failed" an FBI polygraph interrogation that may well have been rigged: it was reportedly conducted in an overheated room with a painfully overtightened thumb cuff. See Chapter 2 of The Lie Behind the Lie Detector for more on the use (and abuse) of polygraphy in the Wen Ho Lee investigation.

Quote:
NAS Study or Review or what ever you want to call it funded by donations by the scientists  scientists at DOE who formed the opinion that because of their lofty "qualifications", THEY shouldn't have to submit to the indignity of security screening while they were working on weapons of mass destruction. The fact that they bought and paid for the this NAS "Study/Review" ALSO provides a significant potential for bias and conflict of interest on THEIR findings as well.


Where did you get the notion that the NAS research review was funded by donations from DOE scientists?

Quote:
Chart analysis may have been largely subjective in the 70's, but now evaluation is by and large objective. (meaning that most modern examiners use objective scoring criteria) Many of the scoring criteria mentioned in George's book are no longer considered as valid by modern polygraph examiners.


Which scoring criteria mentioned in The Lie Behind the Lie Detector (4th ed.) do you maintain are "no longer considered valid by modern polygraph examiners?"

Quote:
You err when you presume that the NAS Study/Review was the end of polygraph progress. Many studies have been produced since their report which address the kinds of research improvements recomended by the NAS.


Citations?
  

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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #37 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 11:08am
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I'll do the first one for you, but for the rest you'll have to do your own homework. I have no intention of doing  research for your next edition. 
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2000/02/04/national/main157220.shtml
"The polygrapher concluded that Lee was not deceptive. Two other polygraphers in the DOE's Albuquerque test center, including the manager, reviewed the charts and concurred: Lee wasn't lying.

The polygraph results were so convincing and unequivocal, that sources say the deputy director of the Los Alamos lab issued an apology to Lee, and work began to get him reinstated in the X-Division. Furthermore, sources confirm to CBS News that the local Albuquerque FBI office sent a memo to headquarters in Washington saying it appeared that Lee was not their spy.

One question at hand is how could the exact same polygraph charts be legitimately interpreted as "passing" and also "failing?" CBS News spoke to Richard Keifer, the current chairman of the American Polygraph Association, who's a former FBI agent and used to run the FBI's polygraph program.

Keifer says, "There are never enough variables to cause one person to say (a polygraph subject is) deceptive, and one to say he's non-deceptive...there should never be that kind of discrepancy on the evaluation of the same chart."

As to how it happened in the Wen Ho Lee case, Keifer thinks, "then somebody is making an error."

We asked Keifer to look at Lee's polygraph scores. He said the scores are "crystal clear." In fact, Keifer says, in all his yeas as a polygrapher, he had never been able to score anyone so high on the non-deceptive scale. He was at a loss to find any explanation for how the FBI could deem the polygraph scores as "failing.""
  
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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #38 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 1:14pm
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I'll do the first one for you, but for the rest you'll have to do your own homework. I have no intention of doingresearch for your next edition. 


I've done my homework, and I can tell you that:

1) You're wrong about the NAS polygraph review having been funded by DOE scientists. It was funded by Congress.

2) The scoring criteria mentioned in The Lie Behind the Lie Detector are current and based on DoDPI/DACA documentation.

3) Very little peer reviewed polygraph research has been published since the publication of the NAS report, and the shortcomings of polygraphy enumerated in that report have not been mitigated in any significant manner.
  

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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #39 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 5:16pm
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You may have done your homework  but obviously not too recently

#1   No You're wrong. The National Academy of Sciences was created by the federal government to be an adviser on scientific and technological matters. However, the Academy and its associated organizations are private, not governmental, organizations and do not receive direct federal appropriations for their work.
#2 I see its time for you to start another FOIA request

#3 I see you agree  that peer reviewed polygraph research moves forward post NAS and since NAS recommended computerized analysis,
Polygraph now uses several tools for computerized analysis that are readily available for scrutiny if you care to look for them. 

You see George, The reason that I don't cite studies for you is that I have seen what you do with the old ones. I don't think you even bother to read them if they happen to disagree with your preconceived notions.  All you intend to do is research the persons who participated in the studies and then accuse them of bias like it is somehow wrong for a researcher to have any interest in the outcome of the study. 

That is a spurious and ad hominum argument because you know, or should know, that researchers don't research anything in which they don't have an interest. The proper way to refute a study is to replicate or conduct your own research and see if it refutes the findings of the previous study. Then both sets of results can be weighed by the scientific community. But wait, you don't have the qualifications to do that and it doesn't seem like you have the ability to find someone who does, or willing to take on the project. 

Whenever you read studies by polygraph researchers like Heinz and Susan Offe, Stuart Senter, etc who are qualified to conduct polygraph research and have completed studies post NAS all you can do is cry bias because to can't refute their findings.

You make broad claims about scientists negative opinions about polygraph, but pay little attention to the convergence of opinion between the AMA and the America Polygraph Association regarding how pre-employment testing should be used.

You ignore that in the 80s a Gallup poll of the membership of the Society for Psychophysiological Research which indicated that approximately two-thirds of the scientists polled reported favorable opinions concerning the usefulness of polygraph tests, only one percent believed polygraph had no value. Ten years later the study was replicated by Honts and Amato with virtually the same results except they asked additional questions to separate out the respondents who reported themselves highly informed about polygraph. 83 % of this "highly informed" subset gave favorable responses towards polygraph the usefulness of polygraph.

Gallup Organization (1984). Survey of the members of the Society for Psychophysiological Research concerning their opinions of polygraph test interpretation Polygraph, 13, 153-165

Amato, S. L., & Honts, C. R. (1994). What do psychophysiologists think about polygraph tests? A survey of the membership of SPR. Psychophysiology, 31, S22

So  are you going to refute their findings or criticize the source for bias? 
  
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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #40 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 6:37pm
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#1   No You're wrong. The National Academy of Sciences was created by the federal government to be an adviser on scientific and technological matters. However, the Academy and its associated organizations are private, not governmental, organizations and do not receive direct federal appropriations for their work.


In earlier posts, you said the source of funding and peer reviewing of studies don't really matter that much.  That regarding polygraph studies funded by the APA.

All of a sudden, the NAS report is biased because you claim funding came from private sources.

At any point, as I've asked pailryder, what is it precisely in the NAS report do you find to be so much in error, and why?  Particularly, in the conclusion section of the report.

TC
  

"There is no direct and unequivocal connection between lying and these physiological states of arousal...(referring to polygraph)."

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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #41 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 6:54pm
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#1 No You're wrong. The National Academy of Sciences was created by the federal government to be an adviser on scientific and technological matters. However, the Academy and its associated organizations are private, not governmental, organizations and do not receive direct federal appropriations for their work.


It is true that funding for the NAS study was not directly appropriated by Congress. The direct source was the Department of Energy (which is funded by Congress). Then Secretary of Energy Bill Richardson, a prominent advocate of polygraph screening, agreed to fund the polygraph review at the behest of Senator Jeff Bingaman (D-NM), a member of the Senate Energy Committee.

The bottom line is that your claim that the National Academy of Sciences' Committee to Review the Scientific Evidence on the Polygraph was biased because the panel was "funded by donations by the...scientists at DOE" is unfounded (not to mention ludicrous).

Quote:
#2 I see its time for you to start another FOIA request


Perhaps, but major changes in polygraph scoring criteria are not (and as a practical matter cannot) be effected in secret. And I've seen no evidence that the kind of change you suggest has occurred.

Quote:
#3 I see you agreethat peer reviewed polygraph research moves forward post NAS and since NAS recommended computerized analysis,
Polygraph now uses several tools for computerized analysis that are readily available for scrutiny if you care to look for them.  


I surmise that you're proabably referring to Objective Scoring System developed by Raymond Nelson and others. But no amount of computerization can compensate for polygraphic lie detection's lack of scientific underpinnings. As Dr. Al Zelicoff, speaking at the first public meeting of the NAS polygraph review panel, aptly put it: "From a medical and scientific standpoint, it is not sufficient to measure well that which should not be measured in the first place."

Computerization of polygraph chart readings may help to standardize the scoring of polygraph charts, but it can no more add validity to the underlying procedure than can the computerization of astrological chart readings.

Quote:
You see George, The reason that I don't cite studies for you is that I have seen what you do with the old ones....


I thought you said the reason you decline to cite studies is that you "have no intention of doing research for [my] next edition." I don't buy either explanation. When you decline to cite studies to back your claims, I think the more likely explanation is that...you can't.
  

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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #42 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 7:24pm
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Mr Maschke

How do you square your claim of a scientific consensus against polygraph with the Gallop and Amato-Hounts poll results?
  

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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #43 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 7:48pm
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Mr Cullen

I don't have any problem with the NAS report.  Polygraph as a profession has nothing to fear from valid, thoughtful criticism.  We get our share, much of it richly deserved.  In fact, much can be learned from it.  Everyone knows I visit and post often and will say again I have learned much here. 

The NAS took great pains to explain that while the accuracy rates of the 56 studies it accepted as valid ranged between 70 and 90 percent, they were not really that high.  But they did not cite any studies to back that conclusion.

If a technique with a long history of use has a 70 to 90 accuracy, as determined by its harshest critics, and 56 valid studies to back it up, wouldn't you like to be able to cite at least one study to support your opinion?
  

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Re: Relevant/Irrelevant
Reply #44 - Mar 2nd, 2009 at 7:54pm
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Cullen the point is if you presume polygraph research is inherently biased by their financial or prejudicial interest in the outcome. Then the NAS study is equally biased. Your bias argument absent proof of intentional falsification of results is neutral so you should move on. 

But in George's response did you note how he carefully ignored, as you have, the convergence of opinion between the AMA and the America Polygraph Association regarding how pre-employment testing should be used?

Then there are the poll citations that show that your comments and his regarding how the scientific community views the polygraph wererefuted by Gallop and Amato-Honts poll results. Artfully ignored; at least until one of you figures out some way to accuse Gallup of bias. 

He also seems to believe that research and changes in polygraph scoring criteria haven't occurred because nobody mailed him a copy. 

If he wants to look at some of the new stuff he needs to start with the names I gave him. Heinz and Susan Offe, Stuart Senter, etc. 

I would expect that type of artless or naive reasoning from someone who thought that Columbus was the one who discovered the world was round, but George has a Phd. and appears to wish people regard him as a scientist, although I don't really know if he has published anything but TLBTLD since his doctoral dissertation or anything that has ever been subjected to the peer review process.
  
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